Séminaire (organisé par l’équipe de recherche DI)


Chercheuse post-doctorante à AgroParisTech, France

Optimal expert elicitation to reduce interval uncertainty

Vendredi 13 novembre 2015 à 14 h dans la salle GI042

Résumé :

Reducing uncertainty is an important problem in many applications such as risk and reliability analysis, system design, etc. We address the problem of optimally querying experts to reduce interval uncertainty. Surprisingly, this problem has received little attention in the past, while similar issues in preference elicitation or social choice theory have witnessed a rising interest. We propose and discuss some solutions to determine optimal questions in a myopic way (one-at-a-time), and study the computational aspects of these solutions both in general and for some specific functions of practical interest. Finally, we illustrate the application of the approach in reliability analysis problems.


FR SHIC 3272

Collegium UTC/CNRS